
Texas Attorney General and Senate nominee Ken Paxton faces serious headwinds in the upcoming midterms, fueling Democrats’ hopes of finally realizing their longtime dream of turning the red state blue. The Republican currently trails his opponent, Texas state Rep. James Talarico, by 2.8% in the RealClearPolitics polling average. Since mid-June, Paxton has won only a single poll by a single point. His odds of winning the race on betting website Polymarket are 37% vs. 65% for Talarico.
On Saturday, an unlikely ally came to Paxton’s defense — his estranged wife, state Sen. Angela Paxton.
Republican political action committee Texas PAC released an ad on Saturday starring Angela Paxton. While she did not utter his name, she urged Texans to vote for the Republican ticket next month.
She began, “I’m Texas Senator Angela Paxton. People have asked my thoughts about this election, and it turns out, I have some.”
She continued:
Let’s talk about the elephant in the room. In a general election, it’s not as much about the individual players on the team. It’s about getting the whole team across the finish line. Either we hold every Republican seat or we hand the future of Texas to the other team. That’s why I’m voting for the Republican ticket on November 3.
Let’s hold the line together.
#TXPol: “I’m Texas Senator Angela Paxton. People have asked my thoughts about this election and turns out, I have some … I’m voting for the Republican ticket on November 3rd.”
Texas PAC is up with a new ad featuring Angela Paxton, Ken Paxton’s estranged wife. pic.twitter.com/U7yYZ6ZBXp
— AdImpact Politics (@AdImpact_Pol) October 3, 2026
Angela Paxton delivered a similar message last month in a speech titled “The Elephant in the Room” at a Texas Federation of Republican Women event.
She said:
Because we have more control over that seat and the future when we control the seat — when it’s still in the family, even if we’re mad at them. But if we lose it to the other team, the nuances that we want to fix with maybe a certain candidate are nothing compared to what it’s going to take to get it back, right?
This, from the same woman who took to X in July 2025 to announce she’d filed for divorce from Paxton “on biblical grounds.” Her post read:
I believe marriage is a sacred covenant and I have earnestly pursued reconciliation.
But in light of recent discoveries, I do not believe that it honors God or is loving to myself, my children, or Ken to remain in the marriage.
Today, after 38 years of marriage, I filed for divorce on biblical grounds.
I believe marriage is a sacred covenant and I have earnestly pursued reconciliation. But in light of recent discoveries, I do not believe that it honors God or is loving to myself, my children, or Ken to…
— Senator Angela Paxton (@AngelaPaxtonTX) July 10, 2025
Hours later, citing Angela Paxton’s announcement, National Republican Senatorial Campaign Communications Director Joanna Rodriguez released a statement trashing Ken Paxton:
What Ken Paxton has put his family through is truly repulsive and disgusting. No one should have to endure what Angela Paxton has, and we pray for her as she chooses to stand up for herself and her family during this difficult time.
The NRSC had endorsed current Republican Sen. John Cornyn over Ken Paxton in this race three months earlier and hoped that Paxton would go away.
.@NRSC coming out swinging at @KenPaxtonTX after news of @AngelaPaxtonTX’s divorce filing. #TXSen pic.twitter.com/wH4THQevl6
— Brad Johnson (@bradj_TX) July 10, 2025
Angela Paxton’s public divorce announcement and the NRSC’s despicable response dominated the news cycle at the time and likely still linger in the minds of many Texas voters. She was likely writing out of raw emotion. The NRSC, on the other hand, acted out of malice and had no business inserting itself into Paxton’s divorce.
Angela Paxton seems to have evolved over the 15 months since kneecapping her husband’s political future.
Apparently, it’s taken the NRSC a little longer. According to the Texas Tribune, national Republicans spent less than $6 million on this race in the first three months after Paxton’s May 26 nomination.
But realizing that even a “flawed” Republican is better than Talarico and that the outcome of this race could determine party control of the Senate, Republican groups are now investing heavily to defend the seat.
The Tribune reported that the GOP spent $122 million on ads in September and have reserved another $66 million in airtime through Election Day. In addition, Trump’s super PAC has contributed nearly $24 million, and Paxton’s campaign is launching its own $20 million statewide ad buy.
Time will tell whether Angela Paxton’s calls for a straight Republican ticket — even if her estranged husband is on it — will affect this race. Or if the die was cast on that fateful day in July 2025.
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